An article from Kahneman's forthcoming book Thinking, Fast and Slow (Allen Lane, £25)
Summary:
1. Most financial advisors are no better (or worse) than random.
2. It's almost impossible to predict good leaders.
3. We think we are good predictors but we are not.
http://www.ongo.com/v/2197989/-1/D57E2DA08AD1EB9F/daniel-kahneman-how-cognitive-illusions-blind-us-to-reason
Summary:
1. Most financial advisors are no better (or worse) than random.
2. It's almost impossible to predict good leaders.
3. We think we are good predictors but we are not.
http://www.ongo.com/v/2197989/-1/D57E2DA08AD1EB9F/daniel-kahneman-how-cognitive-illusions-blind-us-to-reason
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